GasWrangler

The escalation of the conflict in Iraq has put pressure on the commodity markets, with U.S. oil and gold experiencing a big pump. In the coming week, the policy meetings of multiple Central Banks will become the market's focus. Investors are paying attention to U.S. retail sales data and the impact of tariffs on consumption.

The main events that the market will follow next week include the US May retail sales month-on-month, initial jobless claims, as well as The Federal Reserve (FED) interest rate decision and Powell's press conference.

Echo Protocol recently suffered a Supply Chain attack, with its held Bitcoin Wallet being maliciously breached, causing the collateral rate to drop to 20%. The platform has suspended withdrawal operations and initiated an emergency investigation, collaborating with security experts to handle the incident, and will launch a bounty program to track the stolen assets.

[Block Rhythm] On June 14, according to data from the data platform, today's Crypto Assets Fear and Greed Index is 63 (yesterday it was 61), and the market is still in a "greed" state.
Note: The panic index threshold is 0-100, including indicators: Volatility (25%) + Market Trading Volume (25%) + Social Media Popularity (15%) + Market Surveys (15%) + Bitcoin's Proportion in the Overall Market (10%) + Google Trends Analysis (10%).

[Block Rhythm] On June 14, according to data from the data platform, in the past 24 hours, the trading volume on Upbit reached 1.289 billion USD, with the XRP/KRW trading pair leading the Korean trading market with a 11.51% share of the trading volume. The remaining top five are: ETH, BTC, NXPC, and ANIME.

On June 14, Kaito AI founder Yu Hu posted on social media stating that over 90 million dollars worth of Tokens have been distributed to coin holders and users. The more value the network helps distribute, the more value it captures, leading to continuous improvements and innovations, primarily guided by the community. Currently, Boop and Loudio are the main sources of total value distributed (TVD) for Kaito Eco.

Trump Media & Technology Group announced that the SEC has approved its S-3 registration statement, and has submitted the final prospectus to the SEC. This registration provides resale rights for approximately 56 million shares of common stock and 29 million convertible notes, with the company expected to raise about $2.3 billion to support its rise strategy.

[Bitpush] Investment firms Franklin Templeton, Galaxy Digital, and VanEck have submitted updated S-1 filings, and Grayscale also submitted an updated document, disclosing its announcement of a 2.5% fee for potential funds. Fidelity also submitted its S-1 filing for the Solana fund on Friday, marking Fidelity's first submission of the S-1 filing for a Solana Spot ETP.

On June 14, Indian officials stated that the tax department is investigating the issue of Crypto Assets tax evasion.

[Chain News] PANews, June 13 - The Plasma Foundation has announced a deep collaboration with Veda Labs to bring sustainable on-chain returns to ordinary users by abstracting complexity. Veda currently manages over $3.5 billion in funds, and its contracts have been audited by Spearbit. The deposit vault of Plasma is supported by the Veda protocol. The collaboration will continue to support the Plasma Mainnet test version and subsequent infrastructure development, aiming to make on-chain returns accessible to users worldwide.

[Chain News] On June 13, it was reported that Iranian leaders announced on Friday that Iran no longer plans to participate in the nuclear negotiations with the United States scheduled for Sunday in Oman. This decision follows deadly airstrikes by Israel on Iran's nuclear facilities and military bases. According to Oman News Agency and Iranian state media, the talks have been indefinitely suspended.
According to the Associated Press: The United States has begun adjusting its military resource deployment in the Middle East.

[Chain News] PANews reported on June 13 that the ROAM project has logged in to a certain trading platform, Alpha. Starting from June 13, 2025, 21:00 (UTC+8), users holding at least 247 Alpha points can claim 372 ROAM Airdrop on the Alpha activity page, consuming 15 points, and must confirm receipt within 24 hours. The platform will also launch a ROAM trading competition with a prize pool of up to 4.92 million ROAM Tokens.

On June 13, analyst Nikos Tzabouras stated in a report that the dollar's ability to benefit from safe-haven flows may be limited following Israel's attack on Iran's nuclear facilities. He said, "The dollar remains the primary victim of Trump's destructive trade policies, which have triggered a broader transfer of U.S. assets." Due to the ongoing uncertainty over tariffs, the dollar may struggle to fully capitalize on risk aversion sentiment. He noted that in this environment, safe-haven assets like gold appear more attractive.

On June 13, 【区块律动】 early this morning, Israel launched a large-scale military strike against Iran, with airstrikes covering Tehran and several nuclear facilities and missile bases. The Israeli Prime Minister stated that this action was a necessary countermeasure in response to Iran's threats to Israel's existence and vowed to continue strikes until the threat is eliminated. Iran has fully activated its air defense system, closed Tehran International Airport, and put its military on alert, anticipating imminent retaliatory actions.
Although the United States did not participate in the action, it quickly initiated evacuation and military preparedness measures. International oil prices surged over 7% per barrel due to the escalation of the conflict. The tense situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, leading to a rapid increase in market risk aversion.
Analysts suggest: The war in Iraq has increased demand for safe-haven assets, and short-term geopolitical conflict may lead to risk-averse funds flowing into the cryptocurrency market. If geopolitical tensions continue to escalate, it is not ruled out that Bitcoin may challenge the liquidity target above 110,350 USD.
Investors are advised to operate cautiously and respond flexibly.

On June 13, according to Israel's i24News, Israeli sources said that the operation against Iran may take at least a few days, but it may also last more than two weeks. It depends on a variety of factors, including Iran's reaction, U.S. involvement, and more.

[Block Rhythm] On June 13, according to monitoring, "Trader AguilaTrades went long on BTC, ending with a loss of 12.48 million USD, his loss corresponding to the profit of his largest counterparty:"
A whale called "kyoyo" is currently showing a floating profit of 5.17 million USD by going short on BTC. This whale shorted 1,268 BTC with a 40x leverage, and the position is worth 132 million USD.

On June 13, Elmar Voelker, a senior fixed income analyst at LBBW, stated in a report that the greatest market fluctuation potential at the Federal Reserve's meeting next week is the new key interest rate forecast.
So far, the so-called "dot plot" suggests that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year, and the pricing in the money market is almost completely in line with the Fed's forecasts. In our view, adjusting the dot plot could catch some market participants off guard.

Israel's attack on Iran is considered the biggest blow to the Iranian regime since 1979, potentially leading to U.S. involvement and the end of hopes for a nuclear protocol. Although Trump publicly opposed it, in reality, Israel coordinated with Washington to gain U.S. support.

On June 13, regarding the rumor circulating in the gaming industry that "Tencent plans to acquire Nexon," sources close to Tencent revealed that "Tencent has not contacted the founder's family to discuss the deal and has not considered acquiring Nexon." Previously, some media reported that Tencent is studying a valuation of $15 billion (equivalent to 107.7 billion RMB) to acquire the South Korean game developer Nexon and has already reached out to the founder's family.