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历史上各次地缘政治冲突和重大历史事件对美股的影响
昨夜以色列空袭了伊朗,中东局势升级,美股期货和 $BTC 下跌;
历史上各次重大事件或战争后,美股 $SPX 的1个月,3个月,6个月,12个月的涨跌幅如下图;
最近的2022年2月俄乌冲突,1个月内,美股涨了5.9%;
结论:
1.地缘政治冲突可能给美股市场带来短期的回调;
2.但市场具有韧性,时间的推进可以让市场复苏;
3.短线仓位可以止盈,长线仓位可以保留;
Impact of Geopolitical Conflicts and Major Historical Events on the U.S. Stock Market
Last night, Israel launched an airstrike on Iran, escalating tensions in the Middle East. As a result, U.S. stock futures and $BTC declined.
Historically, after major events or wars, the S&P 500 ( $SPX ) has shown the following returns over 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month periods (see chart below):
For instance, during the most recent Russia-Ukraine conflict in February 2022, the U.S. stock market gained 5.9% within one month.
Conclusion:
1.Geopolitical conflicts may lead to short-term pullbacks in the U.S. stock market.
2.However, markets are resilient, and with time, they tend to recover.
3.Short-term positions can be closed for profit-taking, while long-term holdings may be maintained.