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歷史上各次地緣政治衝突和重大歷史事件對美股的影響
昨夜以色列空襲了伊朗,中東局勢升級,美股期貨和 $BTC 下跌;
歷史上各次重大事件或戰爭後,美股 $SPX 的1個月,3個月,6個月,12個月的漲跌幅如下圖;
最近的2022年2月俄烏衝突,1個月內,美股漲了5.9%;
結論:
1.地緣政治衝突可能給美股市場帶來短期的回調;
2.但市場具有韌性,時間的推進可以讓市場復蘇;
3.短線倉位可以止盈,長線倉位可以保留;
Impact of Geopolitical Conflicts and Major Historical Events on the U.S. Stock Market
Last night, Israel launched an airstrike on Iran, escalating tensions in the Middle East. As a result, U.S. stock futures and $BTC declined.
Historically, after major events or wars, the S&P 500 ( $SPX ) has shown the following returns over 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month periods (see chart below):
For instance, during the most recent Russia-Ukraine conflict in February 2022, the U.S. stock market gained 5.9% within one month.
Conclusion:
1.Geopolitical conflicts may lead to short-term pullbacks in the U.S. stock market.
2.However, markets are resilient, and with time, they tend to recover.
3.Short-term positions can be closed for profit-taking, while long-term holdings may be maintained.