Initia Network, as an innovative blockchain architecture that integrates Layer 1 orchestration and Layer 2 application chains, is attracting the attention of numerous developers and investors with its “Interwoven Rollups” technology. Its native Token INIT has a fixed total supply of 1 billion, with an initial circulation of 148.75 million (accounting for 14.875% of the total). The token distribution covers community incentives (50%), ecological development (25%), team and advisors (15%), and reserves (10%). This article provides an in-depth analysis of the price potential of INIT, based on technological advancements, market data, and industry trends.
The core distribution mechanism includes multiple value capture designs:
- Staking and Liquidity Combination: Users can stake INIT or INIT-denominated LP Tokens while earning trading fees and rewards, enhancing network security and increasing token utility.
- Airdrop Incentives: 5% of the supply (50 million tokens) is allocated to incentivize testnet participants, cooperative ecosystem users (such as LayerZero), and social media contributors, accelerating the early ecosystem cold start.
- VIP Program: 25% of tokens are specifically allocated for the Vested Interest Program, aligning the interests of developers, validators, and users through economic alignment.
As of now (June 2025), the INIT price is approximately $0.498, with a bearish short-term sentiment and a neutral Fear & Greed index (52). Technical indicators show:
- 3-day EMA is $0.717 (sell signal)
- RSI is at 37.5 (neutral range)
Price Prediction: Short-term Volatility and Long-term Potential
Key Price Point Predictions for 2025
Time period |
Minimum Price |
Average Price |
Highest Price |
Potential ROI |
June 2025 |
$0.377 |
$0.386 |
$0.592 |
1.05%↑ |
September 2025 |
$0.486 |
$0.612 |
$0.732 |
23.00%↑ |
December 2025 |
$0.586 |
$0.652 |
$0.741 |
17.65%↑ |
Significant long-term growth momentum:
- 2026: Expected average price $1.35, potential increase of 176.73% compared to current.
- 2030: In Web3 Driven by large-scale applications, the price range is $1.92 - $4.32, with a return rate potentially exceeding 286%.
Some institutions have more aggressive viewpoints. The Gate research report points out that INIT reached $12.84 in April 2025, and if ecological applications explode, it could potentially hit $22.15 by the end of the month. However, this prediction needs to be assessed in conjunction with the progress of the mainnet deployment.
Core Variables: Resonance between Technology Implementation and Web3 Trends
The architecture of Initia integrates Cosmos SDK and Optimistic Rollup, achieving:
- 10,000 TPS high throughput
- 500 milliseconds block finality time
This performance can support high-frequency DeFi trading and interaction with on-chain games, directly targeting. Solana Provide a foundational basis for Token demand for competing products.
Web3 Industry Growth Engine
Several trends in 2025 are strongly associated with Initia:
- RWA Asset Tokenization: The market size is expected to reach $16 trillion by 2030, accounting for 10% of global GDP. Initia’s high-performance chain can support the on-chain mapping of assets such as real estate and luxury goods.
- SocialFi Explosion: The market capitalization of decentralized social platforms (like Farcaster) is expected to exceed $10 billion, while the Initia ecosystem has already laid out social applications like Lunch Protocol.
- Layer 2 Dominates Transactions: Over 60% of Ethereum transactions will migrate to L2, and Initia’s cross Rollup interoperability design aligns with this demand.
Progress in Ecological Applications
The first batch of 16 Rollup chains has incubated various types of dApps:
- DeFi: Blackwing Finance (low-slippage DEX), Rave (perpetual contracts)
- GameFi: Kamigotchi (full-chain RPG pet battles)
- NFT: Zaar (mobile NFT marketplace)
The ecological prosperity will directly drive INIT for Gas fees, governance staking, and liquidity rewards.
Risk Warning: Balancing Popularity and Practical Application
- Technical Execution Risk: Vulnerabilities in cross-chain communication and Rollup security audits could lead to a collapse of confidence.
- Regulatory Uncertainty: The U.S. SEC’s definitions regarding Token classification may affect liquidity.
- Application Scenario Lag: If the growth of ecosystem dApp users does not meet expectations, the Token may experience significant corrections due to “speculation retreat,” with historical data showing a volatility of 22.48%.
Conclusion: Ecological maturity determines the value ceiling
The long-term price trajectory of INIT will closely follow the degree of realization of its “multi-chain unification” vision. If the roadmap for Q3 - Q4 of 2025 progresses as scheduled (such as supporting MoveVM and optimizing cross-chain bridges), combined with the industry tailwinds of RWA and SocialFi, $INIT is expected to enter a value release cycle between 2026 and 2030. Investors should focus on the activity level of its developer community (GitHub submission volume), TVL data, and the proportion of cross-chain transaction volume, as these indicators will forecast the token’s explosive potential.
Author:
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