The strong support defense battle and rebound constraint strategy after the Bitcoin bull flag pattern breakdown.


The core logic and the strengthening of the bearish breakout of the bull flag.
• Impact of Bull Flag Pattern Failure: The hourly bullish bull flag has been broken, and if it cannot reclaim the pattern today, the downtrend will continue; the white box area shows a standard weak structure of "natural rebound without breaking the previous high + second test breaking the previous low," with lower lows continuously appearing, dominated by bearish momentum;
• The death line at $112,096: The support level in the right yellow box is the starting point of the new high + daily support. If it falls below this, the bullish trend will end. A drop below $113,255 on the 4-hour level will accelerate the decline to this level, and if it cannot recover, it will be "completely cool down."
Key Level Trading Strategy
• Long conditions:
1. Volume breakout at $113,781 → chase the bull on the right side (only taking the rebound), target $114,037 → $114,653, stop loss on break.
2. 112686 US dollars false breakout recovery → light position trial long, false breakout low point or 111651 US dollars stop loss, if it does not recover then give up;
3. For the conservative type, long position at $110,772, with a stop loss below $110,000 (deep pullback buying in extreme market conditions).
• Short selling conditions:
1. If the volume breaks below $113,474 → short on the right side, target $113,115 → $112,065, rebound cannot recover stop loss;
2. Short with a light position at $115,995 (2B false breakout), stop loss at $116,840 (shorting at a high, requires weak confirmation);
3. 4-hour level breaks below $113,255 → increase short position, looking at $110,462, resonating with daily support break.
The defensive significance of the pattern and strong support.
• Continuation after the bull flag breakdown:
◦ After the pattern fails, $114,037 is the short-term rebound resistance. If it cannot break through, it will be "really finished," and the rebound is merely a weak correction.
• Multiple attributes of 112096 dollars:
◦ It is both the starting point for a rebound and the daily line support. If it is lost, the trend will reverse. In terms of operation, this level should be regarded as the final battleground for both long and short positions. Once broken, it will completely shift to a short position.
Summary: In a weak pattern for Bitcoin, strong support is precarious; the core operation is to follow up with short positions if it breaks below $113,474, closely monitor the critical line at $112,096, and long positions are limited to very short rebounds, avoiding confrontation with the breaking trend.
BTC0.98%
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